Netanyahu’s Hardest Day of the War’s End
As the ceasefire takes hold, the political math turns brutal for Netanyahu: a pause that brings hostages home also strips him of the permanent-emergency footing that kept his far-right partners aligned, invites fresh scrutiny over battlefield decisions and civilian harm, and revives the protest movement that hounded him before the war; if aid convoys roll and IDF units pull back while rocket fire stays low.
Centrists will argue he could have secured the same terms months ago, while hardliners will brand any sustained de-escalation a capitulation and threaten to bolt—leaving him squeezed between international pressure tied to reconstruction benchmarks and coalition hawks demanding snap-backs at the first violation; add reservist fatigue, budget strain, and the risk of inquiries or court challenges once the guns quiet, and the “win” he can sell domestically narrows to a single line: hostages returned without total strategic retreat—anything less, and the ceasefire becomes the opening move in a leadership reckoning.
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